P.1 2021-07-26



Description

A lineage first identified in Brazil with variants of biological significance E484K, N501Y and K417T, described in a recent virological post: here. P.1 lineage is an alias of lineage B.1.1.28.1. As described in Rambaut et al., 2020 when the lineage heirarchy reaches a certain depth (length of 5) lineage names are given an alias to prevent them from becoming infinitely long.
This webpage is generated using publically available sequence data from GISAID, shared by international sequencing efforts.

Table 1 | Summary of P.1 data

Statistic Information
Countries with sequences 68
Sequence count 49126
Countries United States of America 19744, Brazil 14381, Canada 4748, Belgium 1784, Chile 1694, Mexico 1691, Spain 783, Italy 616, Netherlands 523, France 351, Germany 314, Argentina 283, French Guiana 240, Switzerland 177, Colombia 175, United Kingdom 171, Portugal 170, Aruba 119, Uruguay 111, Suriname 109, Japan 101, Sweden 88, Ecuador 80, Turkey 77, Costa Rica 69, Paraguay 53, Denmark 47, Haiti 46, Peru 44, Luxembourg 42, Ireland 28, Trinidad and Tobago 26, Malta 24, Austria 21, Dominican Republic 19, Czech Republic 18, Venezuela 17, Israel 15, Bolivia 12, Paraiba 12, Curaçao 11, Poland 11, South Korea 9, Singapore 8, New Zealand 7, Norway 6, Romania 6, Slovenia 5, Jordan 5, Australia 5, Lithuania 4, Taiwan 4, Rio de Janeiro 3, Finland 3, China 2, Croatia 2, Bosnia and Herzegovina 1, Philippines 1, Bangladesh 1, Cayman Islands 1, Guyana 1, Amazonas 1, Espirito Santo 1, Parana 1, Santa Catarina 1, South Africa 1, Guam 1, Faroe Islands 1
First detected Brazil
Earliest sample date 2020-10-01
Defining SNPs aa:orf1ab:S1188L
aa:orf1ab:K1795Q
del:11288:9
aa:S:L18F
aa:S:T20N
aa:S:P26S
aa:S:D138Y
aa:S:R190S
aa:S:K417T
aa:S:E484K
aa:S:N501Y
aa:S:H655Y
aa:S:T1027I
aa:orf3a:G174C
aa:orf8:E92K
aa:N:P80R

Figure 1 | Cumulative sequence count over time P.1

Bars show the number of new sequences on GISAID over time, binned by epi-week. The line shows the cumulative number of sequences over time.


Figure 2 | Date of earliest_P.1 detected

Schematic map showing the date of the first sequence sample date in each country containing the lineage. Darker countries have earlier first sample dates.


Figure 3 | Map of P.1 sequence counts

Map showing the logged number of sequences of the variant in each country. Countries with more sequences are shown in darker colours.


Figure 4 | Sequence count per country P.1

The number of sequences of the lineage recorded in each country. The height of the bar is the logged number and the numbers above the bar are the raw counts.


Figure 5 | Frequency P.1 in sequences produced since first new variant reported per country

The overall frequency of the lineage, defined as the number of sequences assigned the lineage divided by the total number of sequences from that country in the time since the variant was first sequenced in that country.


Figure 6 | P.1 count per continent

Seven day rolling average of sequence counts per continent. Please note that recent declines may be due to delay in reporting rather than reflecting a change in the underlying virus population.


Figure 7 | Rolling average P.1 frequency per continent

Seven day rolling average of frequency of sequences of the lineage of interest. Frequency is calculated by dividing the number of sequences of the lineage of interest by the total sequences for each continent for each day.


Figure 9 | Air traffic by destination P.1

The number of ticketed origin-to-destination journeys from Manaus, Brazil to countries outside Brazil during October 2020.

Colours indicate numbers of published genomes of P.1 deposited on GISAID. Grey bars indicate countries that have reported the presence of the variant but have not yet published P.1 sequences on GISAID. White bars indicate countries with no reports of P.1.

Flight data come from the International Air Transportation Association that capture anonymized, passenger-level flight itinerary data, comprising both commercial flights and scheduled charter flights. These data account for ~90% of global air travel volumes, with the remaining volumes modelled using market intelligence. We report data from destinations including >5,000 passengers.

Note that flight data reflects final-destination on a booked journey, we cannot account for instances where two separate tickets were purchased.



Table 2 | Reported P.1 imports | Country count: 37




Country Earliest report Date local transmission Local transmission Method of surveillance Source
Brazil 2020-12-15 2020-12-15 1 community_sequencing https://virological.org/t/genomic-characterisation-of-an-emergent-sars-cov-2-lineage-in-manaus-preliminary-findings/586
Japan 2021-01-12 0 travellers https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/en/2019-ncov-e/10108-covid19-33-en.html
Italy 2021-01-17 0 travellers https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/italy-bans-flights-from-brazil-after-covid-variant-detected-in-4-passengers-121011700080_1.html
South Korea 2021-01-10 0 travellers GISAID
Germany 2021-01-22 0 travellers https://www.faz.net/aktuell/rhein-main/nachweis-in-frankfurt-neue-corona-mutation-in-deutschland-17159476.html
Faroe Islands 2021-01-12 0 travellers https://local.fo/in-a-first-european-case-brazilian-coronavirus-variant-confirmed-in-the-faroe-islands/
United States of America 2021-01-25 0 travellers https://twitter.com/SeanW_PHLNGS/status/1353831578342981632?s=20
Netherlands 2021-01-29 community_sequencing https://www.rivm.nl/en/news/brazilian-coronavirus-variants-p1-and-p2-found-in-netherlands
Colombia 2021-01-30 2021-01-31 1 community_sequencing https://twitter.com/INSColombia/status/1356012753656422403?s=20; https://twitter.com/INSColombia/status/1355531730422263809?s=20
Turkey 2021-02-03 community_sequencing https://www.aa.com.tr/en/health/turkey-2-s-africa-1-brazil-variant-detected/2133077
France 2021-01-22 0 community_sequencing https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-france-variant/france-registers-four-cases-of-brazilian-coronavirus-variant-says-minister-idUSP6N2I8010
Peru 2021-02-05 0 community_sequencing https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/afp/2021/02/04/peru-confirma-presenca-da-variante-brasileira-do-coronavirus.htm
Spain 2021-02-05 0 travellers https://www.lavanguardia.com/vida/20210205/6226594/detectado-madrid-primer-caso-variante-brasilena-covid-espana.html
Canada 2021-02-07 0 travellers https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/toronto-reports-canada-s-first-known-case-of-covid-19-variant-first-seen-in-brazil-1.5299345
Argentina 2021-02-08 0 travellers https://g1.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2021/02/08/argentina-detecta-primeiros-casos-de-variantes-brasileiras-do-coronavirus.ghtml
Portugal 2021-02-10 0 community_sequencing https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-portugal/portugal-detects-first-cases-of-brazilian-covid-19-variant-sic-tv-says-idUSL8N2KG7KT
Venezuela 2021-02-10 0 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---9-february-2021
Switzerland 2021-02-09 0 community_sequencing https://www.thelocal.ch/20210209/switzerland-records-first-case-of-brazilian-coronavirus-mutation
Belgium 2021-01-31 2021-01-31 1 community_sequencing https://twitter.com/GuyBaele/status/1361414538281672704
India 2021-02-05 0 travellershttps://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/south-africa-brazil-mutated-covid-strains-have-reached-india/articleshow/81014842.cms
Mexico 2021-02-16 1 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---16-february-2021
Taiwan 2021-02-20 0 travellers https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-taiwan-confirms-brazil-variant-3-cases-quarantine-14248914
Ireland 2021-02-19 0 travellers https://www.thejournal.ie/three-cases-covid-19-variant-brazil-ireland-5360414-Feb2021/
Finland 2021-02-18 0 travellers https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/1271139/current-covid-19-situation-in-finland-new-virus-variants-cause-concern
Sweden 2021-02-25 1 community_sequencing https://www.foreigner.fi/articulo/coronavirus/sweden-detects-first-brazilian-variant-cases/20210221112458010335.html
Denmark 2021-03-03 0 travellers https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-denmark-idUSL5N2L14OT
Aruba 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Chile 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Guadeloupe 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Philippines 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Reunion 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Romania 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Saint Martin 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
United Kingdom 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
United Arab Emirates 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Uruguay 2021-03-23 community_sequencing https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-march-2021
Panama 2021-04-09 community_sequencing https://www.prensa.com/impresa/panorama/variante-brasilena-se-propaga-en-panama/

Table 3 | Raw data for figures




Country Earliest sequence Number of variant sequences Total sequences since first variant sequence
Germany 2021-02-05 314 124313
Chile 2021-01-17 1694 3408
Mexico 2021-01-28 1691 14456
United States Of America 2021-01-09 19744 447043
Belgium 2021-01-29 1784 27831
Spain 2021-01-29 783 29525
United Kingdom 2021-02-04 171 330166
Brazil 2020-10-01 14381 20037
Costa Rica 2021-03-03 69 371
Netherlands 2021-01-25 523 34836
Italy 2021-01-07 616 30966
Denmark 2021-02-22 47 66523
Argentina 2021-01-24 283 964
Trinidad And Tobago 2021-04-23 26 33
Ecuador 2021-03-31 80 724
Austria 2021-04-15 21 2196
Slovenia 2021-04-20 5 4541
Portugal 2021-02-09 170 7519
Colombia 2021-01-04 175 695
Bosnia And Herzegovina 2021-06-28 1 8
Bolivia 2021-03-19 12 18
Aruba 2021-02-15 119 990
Curaçao 2021-04-24 11 80
France 2021-01-22 351 37854
Canada 2021-02-08 4748 31444
Israel 2021-04-11 15 2670
South Korea 2021-01-10 9 4310
Norway 2021-03-14 6 6923
Switzerland 2021-01-27 177 24964
Peru 2020-12-17 44 1269
Philippines 2021-02-21 1 2172
Turkey 2021-01-28 77 6696
Sweden 2021-01-27 88 69310
Uruguay 2021-02-23 111 265
Ireland 2021-02-02 28 16257
Bangladesh 2021-02-18 1 699
Poland 2021-04-13 11 8644
Japan 2021-01-02 101 40141
Lithuania 2021-04-13 4 5967
Cayman Islands 2021-06-17 1 2
Dominican Republic 2021-03-11 19 93
Czech Republic 2021-04-21 18 1720
Malta 2021-04-18 24 158
Jordan 2021-03-09 5 32
Australia 2021-03-01 5 1413
Singapore 2021-04-04 8 1761
Guyana 2021-01-18 1 2
South Africa 2021-02-03 1 3445
New Zealand 2021-03-06 7 158
Finland 2021-05-23 3 674
Luxembourg 2021-02-02 42 4838
China 2021-04-17 2 101
Romania 2021-02-25 6 858
Guam 2021-04-30 1 12
Paraguay 2021-02-13 53 109
Faroe Islands 2021-01-12 1 3
Croatia 2021-04-16 2 2299
Taiwan 2021-01-28 4 61
Venezuela 2021-01-01 17 20
Suriname 2021-02-22 109 190
Haiti 2021-05-15 46 47

Data source and processing

The data on this page is recent as of 2021-07-26, 08:27 GMT. All SARS-CoV-2 sequences were downloaded from GISAID and genomes were de-duplicated based on GISAID sequence name – note that the publically available metadata may not fully allow us to de-duplicate by patient. Full data processing pipeline found here. The sequences were then assigned lineages with pangolin 3.1.3, pangoLEARN version 2021-06-15.

Pangolin assigns P.1 to sequences with at least 10 of the 17 defining P.1 SNPs – defined here.

Caveat: Most locations outside the original focus have not reported sustained transmission and many cases have known travel links to the focal location. Increasing numbers of international cases is currently likely due to increased surveillance and vigilance.

Acknowledgements

Created by: Áine O'Toole and Verity Hill, Rambaut Group, University of Edinburgh. Flight volume data from Kamran Khan, Isaac Bogoch, Alexander Watts, Oliver Pybus, Moritz Kraemer. Sequences sourced from GISAID, full acknowledgements table here.

We have a pre-print up on virological here describing this web tracker.